Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000095 0.000112 0.000130 0.000151 0.000174 0.000198 0.000226
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000093 0.000118 0.000148 0.000183 0.000221 0.000266
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000082 0.000110 0.000146 0.000188 0.000236 0.000293
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000073 0.000105 0.000146 0.000195 0.000253 0.000325
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000068 0.000102 0.000147 0.000203 0.000270 0.000353
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000063 0.000099 0.000148 0.000211 0.000287 0.000383
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000030 0.000057 0.000095 0.000147 0.000215 0.000299 0.000406
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000025 0.000051 0.000089 0.000143 0.000216 0.000306 0.000424
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000024 0.000051 0.000092 0.000151 0.000232 0.000332 0.000464
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000020 0.000046 0.000086 0.000147 0.000231 0.000338 0.000480
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000017 0.000043 0.000084 0.000147 0.000236 0.000350 0.000502
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000014 0.000039 0.000081 0.000146 0.000239 0.000360 0.000523
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000013 0.000039 0.000082 0.000152 0.000252 0.000384 0.000562
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000011 0.000036 0.000080 0.000151 0.000256 0.000395 0.000586
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000009 0.000032 0.000075 0.000147 0.000255 0.000400 0.000600
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000008 0.000030 0.000073 0.000148 0.000261 0.000415 0.000627
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000006 0.000028 0.000072 0.000149 0.000266 0.000427 0.000652
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000005 0.000027 0.000071 0.000150 0.000273 0.000443 0.000681
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000004 0.000024 0.000068 0.000149 0.000275 0.000451 0.000701
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000003 0.000022 0.000065 0.000146 0.000275 0.000457 0.000716
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000003 0.000022 0.000067 0.000153 0.000291 0.000485 0.000761
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000020 0.000064 0.000150 0.000289 0.000488 0.000774
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000018 0.000062 0.000149 0.000293 0.000499 0.000797